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DAILY NEWS ANALYSIS

  • 13 December, 2022

  • 6 Min Read

India Development Report: World Bank

India Development Report: World Bank

  • In its "Navigating the Storm" India Development Report, the World Bank (WB) revised its estimate of 6.9% growth for India's economy in 2022–2023.
  • India's GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth forecast was lowered by the World Bank in October 2022 from 7.5% to 6.5%.

Which points stand out the most?

  • Growth Projection: The Bank predicts that the Indian economy will expand at a slightly slower 6.6% rate in 2023–2024 as a result of a difficult external environment and weak global growth, which will have an impact on its outlook for the economy through a variety of channels.
  • Indian economic activity's resiliency in the face of a deteriorating external environment is a growth driver.
  • In contrast to other emerging market economies, India's economy has proven to be remarkably resilient to the deteriorating external environment thanks to strong macroeconomic fundamentals.
  • Strong private investment and consumption.
  • In the first half of 2022–2023, the government's focus on increasing capital spending helped domestic demand.
  • India's domestic market is sizable, and it is relatively less exposed to foreign trade flows.
  • Beginning of the third quarter (October to December quarter), 2022–2023, with a persistently strong increase in domestic demand.
  • India is navigating both domestic and international challenges with the help of a well-designed and responsible policy response to global spillovers.

Challenges:

  • In FY2023/24, the impact of a tightening global monetary policy cycle, sluggish global economic expansion, elevated commodity prices (inflation), and rising borrowing costs will have a negative impact on domestic demand, particularly private consumption, while sluggish global economic expansion will restrain demand growth for India's exports. Due to these factors, the Indian economy will grow less in FY23 than it did in FY22.

Suggestions:

  • Numerous jobs can be generated in the green economy and renewable energy sectors.
  • It issues a warning about the trade-offs between trying to prevent negative global spillover effects on growth and the available policy options.

About The World Bank:

  • In 1944, it was founded alongside the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) (IMF). The World Bank is now known as the IBRD.
  • The World Bank Group is a distinctive five-institution global partnership that works to find long-term solutions to poverty reduction and shared prosperity in developing nations.
  • One of the United Nations' specialised agencies is the World Bank.
  • Member countries: There are 189 of them.
  • India is a member as well.

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Source: The Economic Times


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